Gordon Orr says:
2. Pork or chicken prices rise 100 percent
China’s domestic food supply has been strained for years. The country consumes 50 percent of all pork globally, and rising demand for protein, especially pork, is pushing the system beyond its limits. In July 2011, pork prices surged 57 percent for a number of reasons, including the steady exit of swine farmers from the market beginning in 2010 and an outbreak of disease among pigs in late 2010 and early 2011. That could easily happen again, and on a much larger scale, because of failures in farms or in the extremely rudimentary cold supply chain. Imports could not increase on a scale sufficient to fill the gap. The psychological scars from recent food-safety scandals could lead to panic hoarding of substitute products and drive up their prices, too. Although a better food chain will develop over time, this may take several years.
Read more: http://www.mckinseychina.com/2013/01/17/whats-in-store-for-china-in-2013/?utm_source=McKinsey+Greater+China+Newsletter&utm_campaign=90cfc5fd7f-McKinsey_Greater_China_Newsletter_1229_2012&utm_medium=email